Historic potential: Climate models from NOAA, ECMWF, and others project Pacific warming beyond 3°C, possibly exceeding the 1877-78 El Niño benchmark. Global stakes: Past strong El Niños brought floods ...
Record risk rises: European and U.S. models show over 90% probability of El Niño by fall, with some scenarios challenging historic intensity records. Ocean heat surges: Subsurface Pacific waters are ...
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