the Iran ceasefire could impact the US economy
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The latest U.S. jobs report delivered a headline surprise, but some economists say the strength is overstated. March payrolls rose by 178,000, more than double expectations, yet much of that gain came from temporary factors.
Weaker growth and higher inflation expected
By Ann Saphir April 8 (Reuters) - San Francisco Federal Reserve President Mary Daly on Wednesday said the U.S. economy is fundamentally in a "good place" despite sharply higher oil prices from the Iran war and the uncertainty over how long the war will last.
From war-driven inflation to rising debt and market risks, JPMorgan’s CEO outlines what could shake the economy, and what it means for your wallet.
Michael Green, Portfolio Manager at Simplify Asset Management, says that the latest U.S. non-farm payroll data does not account for the birth/death adjustment. He explains that the actual data is likely an inverse of what the job report showed.
A report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics shows that the U.S. economy added 178,000 jobs in the month of March with the unemployment rate at 4.4%. NBC News' Brian Cheung and Investopedia
The labor market has been erratic to start 2026, creating over 100,000 jobs one month and then contracting the next. But Federal Reserve officials aren't alarmed, with one central banker suggesting zero job growth could still be considered healthy.
Another decent ISM activity print is consistent with the US economy growing at a 2.5% annual pace in 2026. The concern is that the jobs component dropped sharply in March and prices paid jumped, suggesting growing business caution in the wake of heightened economic and market angst tied to the conflict in the Middle East.